MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 29, 2026
Ethan Pecko
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Lucas Giolito
Lucas Giolito
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Ethan Pecko wins 0 (none); Lucas Giolito wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Ethan Pecko
93.5
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Ethan Pecko
9.8%
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Ethan Pecko
16.4%
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Ethan Pecko
29.4%
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Ethan Pecko
39.6%
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Ethan Pecko
9.9%
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Ethan Pecko
.322
Lucas Giolito
.358
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Ethan Pecko
3.755.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.91
4.10
Lucas Giolito
3.755.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Ethan Pecko
1.121.92
now 1.64
1.30
Lucas Giolito
1.121.92
now 1.74
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Ethan Pecko
4011.60
now 4
0
Lucas Giolito
4011.60
now 6
0
Winshigher is better
Ethan Pecko
.0002.80
now 0
0–0
Lucas Giolito
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighEthan Pecko — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.75
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50
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