MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Ethan Pecko
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Zebby Matthews
Zebby Matthews
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Ethan Pecko.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Zebby Matthews’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Ethan Pecko wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Zebby Matthews wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Ethan Pecko
93.5
Zebby Matthews
95.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Ethan Pecko
10.2%
Zebby Matthews
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Ethan Pecko
14.3%
Zebby Matthews
19.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Ethan Pecko
28.2%
Zebby Matthews
27.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Ethan Pecko
43.6%
Zebby Matthews
41.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Ethan Pecko
10.9%
Zebby Matthews
11.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Ethan Pecko
.383
Zebby Matthews
.330
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Ethan Pecko
3.785.23
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.91
4.10
Zebby Matthews
3.785.23
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.63
4.45
WHIPlower is better
Ethan Pecko
.9001.88
now 1.64
1.30
Zebby Matthews
.9001.88
now 1.03
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Ethan Pecko
4032
now 4
10
Zebby Matthews
4032
now 24
12
Winshigher is better
Ethan Pecko
.0001.48
now 0
00
Zebby Matthews
.0001.48
now 1
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighEthan Pecko — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
SellZebby Matthews — sell.conf 0.71
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