Rest of Season Projection
EvanCategoryOneil
8HR →19
37R →63
30RBI →61
15SB →28
.186AVG →.242
Current Season
EvanCategoryOneil
6HR →13
22R →42
18RBI →41
9SB →19
.171AVG →.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Evan Carter
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.299 below league with no luck excuse
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Evan Carter: 8 HR / 37 R. Oneil Cruz: 19 HR / 63 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).