MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 29, 2026
Portrait of Evan Carter
Evan Carter
TEX · CF
Change to
Portrait of Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TB · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Victor Mesa Jr..

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, RBI, and average. Evan Carter’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Victor Mesa Jr. wins 3 categories (HR, RBI, AVG); Evan Carter wins 2 (R, SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Evan Carter
88.0
Victor Mesa Jr.
87.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Evan Carter
37.8%
Victor Mesa Jr.
41.9%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Evan Carter
7.0%
Victor Mesa Jr.
11.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Evan Carter
19.3%
Victor Mesa Jr.
31.5%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Evan Carter
10.6%
Victor Mesa Jr.
13.5%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Evan Carter
.294
Victor Mesa Jr.
.351
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Evan Carter
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .171
.183
Victor Mesa Jr.
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .211
.236

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Evan Carter
58
now 6
4
Victor Mesa Jr.
58
now 1
6
Runshigher is better
Evan Carter
2035.20
now 22
26
Victor Mesa Jr.
2035.20
now 3
24
RBIhigher is better
Evan Carter
2032.40
now 18
21
Victor Mesa Jr.
2032.40
now 3
24
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Evan Carter
.00015.40
now 9
11
Victor Mesa Jr.
.00015.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellEvan Carter — sell.conf 0.59
Hold · wait & seeVictor Mesa Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
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