Rest of Season Projection
FosterCategoryNolan
93K →116
4.28ERA →3.35
1.22WHIP ←1.26
6–12W ←3–6
0SV0
Current Season
FosterCategoryNolan
65K →77
3.76ERA ←4.21
1.15WHIP →1.12
6W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Foster Griffin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.237 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.38 is 0.75 above the ERA — regression coming
Nolan McLean
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.35, 0.75 below league — production is earned
Foster Griffin: 93 K / 4.28 ERA. Nolan McLean: 116 K / 3.35 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).