MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 6, 2026
Portrait of Gabe Speier
Gabe Speier
SEA · P
Change to
Portrait of Orion Kerkering
Orion Kerkering
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Gabe Speier.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. Orion Kerkering’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Gabe Speier wins 2 categories (K, SV); Orion Kerkering wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gabe Speier
95.2
Orion Kerkering
97.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
12.9%
Orion Kerkering
12.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
21.6%
Orion Kerkering
26.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
33.1%
Orion Kerkering
30.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gabe Speier
38.3%
Orion Kerkering
24.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gabe Speier
11.7%
Orion Kerkering
6.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gabe Speier
.299
Orion Kerkering
.265
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gabe Speier
24.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.70
Orion Kerkering
24.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.53
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Gabe Speier
1.061.37
now 1.30
1.24
Orion Kerkering
1.061.37
now 1.13
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gabe Speier
4035.60
now 16
30
Orion Kerkering
4035.60
now 23
27
Winshigher is better
Gabe Speier
.0006.60
now 1
12
Orion Kerkering
.0006.60
now 3
25
Saveshigher is better
Gabe Speier
.0004.40
now 1
13
Orion Kerkering
.0004.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeGabe Speier — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeOrion Kerkering — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet