MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Portrait of Gabe Speier
Gabe Speier
SEA · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Kinley
Tyler Kinley
ATL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Gabe Speier.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves. Tyler Kinley’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Gabe Speier wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Tyler Kinley wins 2 (ERA, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gabe Speier
95.3
Tyler Kinley
94.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
12.2%
Tyler Kinley
12.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
21.5%
Tyler Kinley
24.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
31.2%
Tyler Kinley
25.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gabe Speier
37.0%
Tyler Kinley
28.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gabe Speier
11.1%
Tyler Kinley
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gabe Speier
.302
Tyler Kinley
.285
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gabe Speier
24.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.70
Tyler Kinley
24.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.16
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Gabe Speier
1.101.37
now 1.30
1.24
Tyler Kinley
1.101.37
now 1.17
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gabe Speier
4033.60
now 16
18
Tyler Kinley
4033.60
now 28
17
Winshigher is better
Gabe Speier
.0005.20
now 1
11
Tyler Kinley
.0005.20
now 4
14
Saveshigher is better
Gabe Speier
.0003.40
now 1
02
Tyler Kinley
.0003.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighGabe Speier — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeTyler Kinley — hold.conf 0.50
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