MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 16, 2026
Portrait of José Fermin
José Fermin
LAA · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Kinley
Tyler Kinley
ATL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

José Fermin wins 1 (K); Tyler Kinley wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Fermin
96.3
Tyler Kinley
94.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Fermin
14.9%
Tyler Kinley
12.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Fermin
25.2%
Tyler Kinley
25.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Fermin
32.8%
Tyler Kinley
25.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Fermin
45.1%
Tyler Kinley
25.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Fermin
7.0%
Tyler Kinley
5.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Fermin
.317
Tyler Kinley
.265
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Fermin
2.266.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
Tyler Kinley
2.266.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.16
3.66
WHIPlower is better
José Fermin
.9701.87
now 1.67
1.24
Tyler Kinley
.9701.87
now 1.17
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Fermin
4033.60
now 18
24
Tyler Kinley
4033.60
now 28
23
Winshigher is better
José Fermin
.0006.60
now 2
14
Tyler Kinley
.0006.60
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighJosé Fermin — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.94
Hold · wait & seeTyler Kinley — hold.conf 0.50
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