MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 29, 2026
David Morgan
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Kinley
Tyler Kinley
ATL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

David Morgan wins 1 (K); Tyler Kinley wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
David Morgan
97.4
Tyler Kinley
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
David Morgan
16.1%
Tyler Kinley
12.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
David Morgan
24.8%
Tyler Kinley
26.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
David Morgan
36.3%
Tyler Kinley
24.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
David Morgan
27.0%
Tyler Kinley
26.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
David Morgan
1.6%
Tyler Kinley
6.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
David Morgan
.284
Tyler Kinley
.270
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
David Morgan
2.316.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.28
3.70
Tyler Kinley
2.316.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.16
3.66
WHIPlower is better
David Morgan
.9002.18
now 1.89
1.24
Tyler Kinley
.9002.18
now 1.17
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
David Morgan
4036.60
now 17
31
Tyler Kinley
4036.60
now 28
30
Winshigher is better
David Morgan
.0009
now 2
25
Tyler Kinley
.0009
now 4
27

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDavid Morgan — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeTyler Kinley — hold.conf 0.50
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