Rest of Season Projection
HoganCategoryTyler
51K ←46
3.68ERA →3.65
1.27WHIP →1.24
2–5W →4–10
5–9SV ←0
Current Season
HoganCategoryTyler
31K ←28
2.60ERA ←3.16
1.59WHIP →1.17
2W →4
4SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hogan Harris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.274 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 is 0.91 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Kinley
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.74)
Hogan Harris: 51 K / 3.68 ERA. Tyler Kinley: 46 K / 3.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).