Rest of Season Projection
HoganCategoryIan
51K51
3.68ERA ←3.72
1.27WHIP →1.26
2–5W →3–7
5–9SV ←1–6
Current Season
HoganCategoryIan
31K →32
2.60ERA ←4.66
1.59WHIP →1.28
2W →3
4SV ←2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hogan Harris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.274 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 is 0.91 above the ERA — regression coming
Ian Seymour
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.90)
Hogan Harris: 51 K / 3.68 ERA. Ian Seymour: 51 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).