Rest of Season Projection
HoganCategoryOrion
47K ←41
3.67ERA ←3.69
1.27WHIP →1.24
2–5W →3–8
5–9SV ←1–3
Current Season
HoganCategoryOrion
31K ←23
2.60ERA →2.53
1.59WHIP →1.13
2W →3
4SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hogan Harris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.270 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.34 is 0.86 above the ERA — regression coming
Orion Kerkering
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.54)
Hogan Harris: 47 K / 3.67 ERA. Orion Kerkering: 41 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).