MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 10, 2026
Portrait of Garrett Cleavinger
Garrett Cleavinger
TB · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Davis
Tyler Davis
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Garrett Cleavinger.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. Tyler Davis’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Garrett Cleavinger wins 2 categories (K, SV); Tyler Davis wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Garrett Cleavinger
96.8
Tyler Davis
96.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Garrett Cleavinger
12.9%
Tyler Davis
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Garrett Cleavinger
31.5%
Tyler Davis
20.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Garrett Cleavinger
36.3%
Tyler Davis
33.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Garrett Cleavinger
40.3%
Tyler Davis
41.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Garrett Cleavinger
6.5%
Tyler Davis
4.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Garrett Cleavinger
.287
Tyler Davis
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Garrett Cleavinger
3.223.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.65
3.70
Tyler Davis
3.223.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.44
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Garrett Cleavinger
.9001.65
now 1.46
1.24
Tyler Davis
.9001.65
now 0.98
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Garrett Cleavinger
4032.60
now 17
27
Tyler Davis
4032.60
now 17
23
Winshigher is better
Garrett Cleavinger
.0005.20
now 1
12
Tyler Davis
.0005.20
now 2
14
Saveshigher is better
Garrett Cleavinger
.0004.40
now 1
13
Tyler Davis
.0004.40
now 1
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowGarrett Cleavinger — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.74
Hold · wait & seeTyler Davis — hold.conf 0.50
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