Rest of Season Projection
FernandoCategoryTyler
47K ←32
3.67ERA ←3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
2–7W2–6
0SV →1–3
Current Season
FernandoCategoryTyler
30K ←17
2.19ERA ←3.44
1.30WHIP →0.98
3W ←2
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Fernando Cruz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.266 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.99 is 1.15 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Davis
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.92)
Fernando Cruz: 49 K / 3.67 ERA. Tyler Davis: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).