Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryJacob
25K →44
3.84ERA →3.73
1.26WHIP →1.24
3–9W ←1–2
1–3SV →1–3
Current Season
GordonCategoryJacob
14K →31
1.80ERA ←2.55
0.90WHIP ←1.34
4W ←1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.155 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.25 is 3.49 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jacob Webb
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.30)
Gordon Graceffo: 25 K / 3.84 ERA. Jacob Webb: 44 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).