Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryJuan
25K →46
3.84ERA →3.71
1.26WHIP1.26
3–9W ←1–2
1–3SV →3–6
Current Season
GordonCategoryJuan
14K →30
1.80ERA ←6.00
0.90WHIP ←1.70
4W ←1
1SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.155 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.26 is 3.50 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Juan Mejia
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.372 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Gordon Graceffo: 25 K / 3.84 ERA. Juan Mejia: 46 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).