Rest of Season Projection
GrahamCategoryJosé
32K →44
3.67ERA ←3.71
1.26WHIP1.26
1–2W ←0–0
1–2SV1–3
Current Season
GrahamCategoryJosé
32K →33
3.33ERA ←5.46
1.22WHIP ←1.89
1W ←0
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Graham Ashcraft
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.29)
José Suarez
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.80 sits 0.30 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.442 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Graham Ashcraft: 32 K / 3.67 ERA. José Suarez: 44 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).