Rest of Season Projection
JohnCategoryJosé
24K →44
3.68ERA ←3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.26
1–2W ←0–0
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
JohnCategoryJosé
20K →33
2.52ERA ←5.46
0.72WHIP ←1.89
1W ←0
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
John King
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.106 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.20 is 0.89 above the ERA — regression coming
José Suarez
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.80 sits 0.30 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.442 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
John King: 24 K / 3.68 ERA. José Suarez: 44 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).