Rest of Season Projection
JohnCategoryPhil
24K →41
3.68ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W ←0–0
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JohnCategoryPhil
20K →22
2.52ERA ←7.23
0.72WHIP ←1.71
1W ←0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
John King
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.106 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.20 is 0.89 above the ERA — regression coming
Phil Maton
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.41)
John King: 25 K / 3.68 ERA. Phil Maton: 43 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

