MLB Daily DeltaWeek 12 · June 13, 2026
Engraved portrait of Brock Burke
Brock Burke
CIN·P
Sell High high·0.95
Change to
Engraved portrait of Phil Maton
Phil Maton
CHC·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

BrockCategoryPhil
38K 41
3.75ERA 3.70
1.27WHIP 1.24
1–2W 0–0
1–3SV 0

Current Season

BrockCategoryPhil
27K 22
3.62ERA 7.23
1.39WHIP 1.71
1W 0
1SV 0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Brock Burke
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.49 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Phil Maton
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.41)

Brock Burke: 38 K / 3.75 ERA. Phil Maton: 41 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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