Rest of Season Projection
BrockCategoryTanner
38K →40
3.75ERA →3.70
1.27WHIP →1.24
1–2W ←0–0
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
BrockCategoryTanner
27K ←25
3.62ERA ←6.75
1.39WHIP ←2.06
1W ←0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brock Burke
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.49 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Tanner Banks
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.42 sits 0.68 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.429 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Brock Burke's 38 K / 3.75 ERA vs Tanner Banks's 40 K / 3.70 ERA — Banks edges in both categories. The skill gap supports the buy-low call on Banks.