MLB Daily DeltaWeek 12 · June 13, 2026
Engraved portrait of Brock Burke
Brock Burke
CIN·P
Sell High high·0.95
Change to
Matt Svanson
STL·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

BrockCategoryMatt
38K 43
3.75ERA 3.87
1.27WHIP 1.25
1–2W1–2
1–3SV 0

Current Season

BrockCategoryMatt
27K 26
3.62ERA 8.77
1.39WHIP 1.95
1W1
1SV 0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Brock Burke
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.49 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Matt Svanson
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (7.07)

Burke (38 K / 3.75 ERA) trails Svanson (43 K / 3.87 ERA) in Ks but leads in ERA; the sell-high call on Burke reflects expected regression.

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