MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 30, 2026
Portrait of Graham Ashcraft
Graham Ashcraft
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Lake Bachar
Lake Bachar
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Lake Bachar.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Graham Ashcraft’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Lake Bachar wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Graham Ashcraft wins 2 (W, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Graham Ashcraft
98.0
Lake Bachar
94.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Graham Ashcraft
14.7%
Lake Bachar
15.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Graham Ashcraft
29.4%
Lake Bachar
26.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Graham Ashcraft
33.3%
Lake Bachar
30.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Graham Ashcraft
36.1%
Lake Bachar
40.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Graham Ashcraft
6.6%
Lake Bachar
6.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Graham Ashcraft
.287
Lake Bachar
.274
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Graham Ashcraft
3.113.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.68
Lake Bachar
3.113.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
3.65
WHIPlower is better
Graham Ashcraft
.9101.36
now 1.22
1.26
Lake Bachar
.9101.36
now 1.01
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Graham Ashcraft
4041.60
now 32
26
Lake Bachar
4041.60
now 32
36
Winshigher is better
Graham Ashcraft
.0002.80
now 1
12
Lake Bachar
.0002.80
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Graham Ashcraft
.0003.40
now 1
02
Lake Bachar
.0003.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeGraham Ashcraft — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeLake Bachar — hold.conf 0.50
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