Rest of Season Projection
GrantCategoryMax
89K ←74
4.44ERA →4.14
1.37WHIP →1.31
3–7W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
GrantCategoryMax
53K ←14
3.95ERA ←10.23
1.33WHIP ←1.73
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Grant Holmes
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.63 is 0.58 above the ERA — regression coming
Max Scherzer
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.14)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Grant Holmes: 89 K / 4.44 ERA. Max Scherzer: 74 K / 4.14 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).