MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Harrison Bader
Harrison Bader
SF · CF
Change to
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
AZ · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Harrison Bader wins 2 (R, RBI); Lourdes Gurriel Jr. wins 2 (SB, AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Harrison Bader
89.2
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
87.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Harrison Bader
41.1%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
34.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Harrison Bader
8.2%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
4.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Harrison Bader
38.7%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
40.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Harrison Bader
17.1%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
12.6%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Harrison Bader
.272
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
.277
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Harrison Bader
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .170
.184
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .228
.228

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Harrison Bader
56.60
now 5
2
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
56.60
now 1
2
Runshigher is better
Harrison Bader
2015.20
now 10
12
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
2015.20
now 7
9
RBIhigher is better
Harrison Bader
2019.20
now 14
16
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
2019.20
now 11
14
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Harrison Bader
.0002.20
now 0
0
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
.0002.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowHarrison Bader — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.67
SellLourdes Gurriel Jr. — sell.conf 0.63
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