Rest of Season Projection
HenryCategoryJac
1HR →14
17R →33
17RBI →22
17SB ←2
.198AVG →.255
Current Season
HenryCategoryJac
0HR →6
4R →20
4RBI →13
4SB ←1
.288AVG ←.242
What Each Player's System Trusts
Henry Bolte
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.390 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.261 is 0.059 below the surface — regression coming
Jac Caglianone
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.340, +0.025 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Henry Bolte: 1 HR / 17 R. Jac Caglianone: 14 HR / 33 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).