Rest of Season Projection
HenryCategoryJames
1HR →22
17R →78
17RBI →57
17SB ←15
.198AVG →.255
Current Season
HenryCategoryJames
0HR →16
4R →53
4RBI →39
4SB →10
.288AVG ←.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Henry Bolte
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.390 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.261 is 0.059 below the surface — regression coming
James Wood
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.432, +0.117 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Henry Bolte: 1 HR / 17 R. James Wood: 22 HR / 78 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).