MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Heriberto Hernández
Heriberto Hernández
MIA · LF
Change to
Portrait of Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHC · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Heriberto Hernández.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI, steals, and average. Ian Happ’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Heriberto Hernández wins 3 categories (RBI, SB, AVG); Ian Happ wins 2 (HR, R).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Heriberto Hernández
92.4
Ian Happ
89.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Heriberto Hernández
50.9%
Ian Happ
43.4%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Heriberto Hernández
12.4%
Ian Happ
12.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Heriberto Hernández
25.1%
Ian Happ
24.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Heriberto Hernández
14.9%
Ian Happ
14.1%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Heriberto Hernández
.360
Ian Happ
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Heriberto Hernández
.200.270
lg AVG .295
now .206
.247
Ian Happ
.200.270
lg AVG .295
now .230
.181

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Heriberto Hernández
517
now 3
4
Ian Happ
517
now 13
6
Runshigher is better
Heriberto Hernández
2051.80
now 7
9
Ian Happ
2051.80
now 39
29
RBIhigher is better
Heriberto Hernández
2035.40
now 20
26
Ian Happ
2035.40
now 31
23
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Heriberto Hernández
.0009.40
now 5
7
Ian Happ
.0009.40
now 2
1
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyHeriberto Hernández — buy.conf 0.69
Hold · steadyIan Happ — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet