Rest of Season Projection
HeribertoCategoryIan
11HR →13
17R →57
50RBI ←46
12SB ←3
.259AVG ←.189
Current Season
HeribertoCategoryIan
3HR →13
7R →39
20RBI →31
5SB ←2
.206AVG →.230
What Each Player's System Trusts
Heriberto Hernández
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.240 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Ian Happ
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.343, +0.028 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Heriberto Hernández: 11 HR / 17 R. Ian Happ: 13 HR / 57 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).