MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 12, 2026
Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT · RF
Change to
Portrait of Heriberto Hernández
Heriberto Hernández
MIA · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Esmerlyn Valdez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI. Heriberto Hernández’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Esmerlyn Valdez wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Heriberto Hernández wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
91.1
Heriberto Hernández
92.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
50.0%
Heriberto Hernández
51.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
28.0%
Heriberto Hernández
12.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
24.9%
Heriberto Hernández
25.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
16.4%
Heriberto Hernández
14.6%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
.359
Heriberto Hernández
.376
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
.200.310
lg AVG .295
now .111
.194
Heriberto Hernández
.200.310
lg AVG .295
now .206
.254

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
513.20
now 2
10
Heriberto Hernández
513.20
now 3
5
Runshigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
2020.20
now 2
15
Heriberto Hernández
2020.20
now 7
11
RBIhigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
2049.80
now 5
37
Heriberto Hernández
2049.80
now 20
30
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
.00011.20
now 0
0
Heriberto Hernández
.00011.20
now 5
8
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighEsmerlyn Valdez — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.69
Buy LowHeriberto Hernández — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.66
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