Rest of Season Projection
HeribertoCategoryLuke
9HR →12
16R →36
44RBI →51
11SB ←2
.265AVG ←.222
Current Season
HeribertoCategoryLuke
3HR →13
7R →22
20RBI →31
5SB ←1
.206AVG →.276
What Each Player's System Trusts
Heriberto Hernández
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.357)
Luke Raley
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.361, +0.046 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Heriberto Hernández: 9 HR / 16 R. Luke Raley: 12 HR / 36 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).