Rest of Season Projection
JesúsCategoryLuke
13HR →14
34R →41
50RBI →58
2SB2
.284AVG ←.234
Current Season
JesúsCategoryLuke
6HR →13
19R →22
28RBI →31
1SB1
.287AVG ←.276
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jesús Sánchez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.341, +0.026 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Luke Raley
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.382, +0.067 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jesús Sánchez: 13 HR / 34 R. Luke Raley: 14 HR / 41 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).