Rest of Season Projection
IanCategoryLuke
13HR13
57R ←40
45RBI →56
3SB ←2
.193AVG →.231
Current Season
IanCategoryLuke
13HR13
39R ←22
31RBI31
2SB ←1
.230AVG →.276
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ian Happ
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.347, +0.032 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Luke Raley
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.377, +0.062 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ian Happ: 13 HR / 57 R. Luke Raley: 13 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).