Rest of Season Projection
LukeCategoryWade
12HR ←6
36R ←21
51RBI →56
2SB →14
.222AVG →.246
Current Season
LukeCategoryWade
13HR ←2
22R ←3
31RBI ←8
1SB →2
.276AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luke Raley
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.361, +0.046 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
Wade Meckler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.372 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.355 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
Luke Raley: 13 HR / 38 R. Wade Meckler: 7 HR / 21 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).