Rest of Season Projection
HeribertoCategoryWade
9HR ←6
15R →20
44RBI →54
11SB →14
.266AVG ←.238
Current Season
HeribertoCategoryWade
3HR ←2
7R ←3
20RBI ←8
5SB ←2
.206AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Heriberto Hernández
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.358)
Wade Meckler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.364 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.035 below the surface — regression coming
Heriberto Hernández: 9 HR / 15 R. Wade Meckler: 6 HR / 20 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).