Rest of Season Projection
LukeCategoryRyan
14HR ←9
41R →50
57RBI ←54
2SB2
.232AVG →.260
Current Season
LukeCategoryRyan
13HR ←8
22R →28
31RBI ←30
1SB1
.276AVG →.294
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luke Raley
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.377, +0.062 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ryan O'Hearn
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.355, +0.040 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Luke Raley: 14 HR / 41 R. Ryan O'Hearn: 9 HR / 50 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).