Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryJesús
13HR →14
40R ←33
33RBI →49
16SB ←2
.243AVG →.285
Current Season
JacksonCategoryJesús
5HR →6
26R ←19
21RBI →28
10SB ←1
.209AVG →.287
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Merrill
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.262 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Jesús Sánchez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.343, +0.028 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jackson Merrill: 13 HR / 40 R. Jesús Sánchez: 14 HR / 33 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).