Rest of Season Projection
HobyCategoryTim
28K ←23
3.79ERA →3.72
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–2W →2–5
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
HobyCategoryTim
12K ←11
2.49ERA ←4.03
1.03WHIP ←1.21
1W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.247 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.52 is 1.34 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tim Hill
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.56)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Hoby Milner: 28 K / 3.79 ERA. Tim Hill: 23 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).