MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Hunter Brown
HOU · P
Change to
Matthew Boyd
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Hunter Brown.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Hunter Brown wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Matthew Boyd wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Hunter Brown
96.1
Matthew Boyd
92.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Hunter Brown
11.6%
Matthew Boyd
12.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Hunter Brown
24.7%
Matthew Boyd
21.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Hunter Brown
26.8%
Matthew Boyd
32.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Hunter Brown
38.1%
Matthew Boyd
39.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Hunter Brown
6.7%
Matthew Boyd
9.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Hunter Brown
.299
Matthew Boyd
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Hunter Brown
28.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.84
3.71
Matthew Boyd
28.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.23
WHIPlower is better
Hunter Brown
.9001.59
now 1.03
1.43
Matthew Boyd
.9001.59
now 1.29
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Hunter Brown
4073
now 17
57
Matthew Boyd
4073
now 31
46
Winshigher is better
Hunter Brown
.0006.60
now 1
25
Matthew Boyd
.0006.60
now 2
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyHunter Brown — buy.conf 0.72
Hold · leans sellMatthew Boyd — hold.conf 0.60
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