MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Portrait of Kevin Gausman
Kevin Gausman
CHC · P
Change to
Matthew Boyd
CHC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Matthew Boyd.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Kevin Gausman’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matthew Boyd wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Kevin Gausman wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kevin Gausman
93.9
Matthew Boyd
92.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kevin Gausman
13.6%
Matthew Boyd
12.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kevin Gausman
23.5%
Matthew Boyd
21.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kevin Gausman
34.4%
Matthew Boyd
32.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kevin Gausman
38.8%
Matthew Boyd
39.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kevin Gausman
7.7%
Matthew Boyd
9.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kevin Gausman
.308
Matthew Boyd
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kevin Gausman
27.15
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.13
3.96
Matthew Boyd
27.15
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.23
WHIPlower is better
Kevin Gausman
1.011.38
now 1.09
1.30
Matthew Boyd
1.011.38
now 1.29
1.29

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kevin Gausman
4080
now 66
42
Matthew Boyd
4080
now 31
46
Winshigher is better
Kevin Gausman
1.204.80
now 4
24
Matthew Boyd
1.204.80
now 2
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowKevin Gausman — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.73
Hold · leans sellMatthew Boyd — hold.conf 0.60
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