MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 5, 2026
Hunter Dobbins
STL · P
Change to
Shane Bieber
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Shane Bieber.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts. Hunter Dobbins’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Shane Bieber wins 1 categories (K); Hunter Dobbins wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Hunter Dobbins
95.2
Shane Bieber
92.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Hunter Dobbins
10.7%
Shane Bieber
10.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Hunter Dobbins
22.4%
Shane Bieber
16.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Hunter Dobbins
26.7%
Shane Bieber
30.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Hunter Dobbins
44.4%
Shane Bieber
45.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Hunter Dobbins
7.1%
Shane Bieber
10.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Hunter Dobbins
.299
Shane Bieber
.404
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Hunter Dobbins
3.346.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
4.10
Shane Bieber
3.346.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Hunter Dobbins
1.022.28
now 1.38
1.30
Shane Bieber
1.022.28
now 2.00
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Hunter Dobbins
4036.80
now 8
27
Shane Bieber
4036.80
now 6
28
Winshigher is better
Hunter Dobbins
.000.480
now 0
00
Shane Bieber
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeHunter Dobbins — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeShane Bieber — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet