Rest of Season Projection
J.T.CategoryMitch
90K ←84
3.75ERA ←4.27
1.34WHIP →1.33
3–7W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
J.T.CategoryMitch
52K ←51
2.87ERA ←4.35
1.14WHIP ←1.17
3W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
J.T. Ginn
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.227 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.75 is 1.01 above the ERA — regression coming
Mitch Keller
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.36)
J.T. Ginn: 90 K / 3.75 ERA. Mitch Keller: 84 K / 4.27 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).