Rest of Season Projection
J.T.CategoryPaul
98K →126
3.90ERA →2.28
1.38WHIP →1.04
4–8W →6–14
0SV0
Current Season
J.T.CategoryPaul
52K →75
2.87ERA ←2.89
1.14WHIP →0.86
3W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
J.T. Ginn
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.235 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.90 is 1.03 above the ERA — regression coming
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
J.T. Ginn: 98 K / 3.90 ERA. Paul Skenes: 126 K / 2.28 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).