Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryRandy
12HR12
36R →60
31RBI →38
14SB →25
.251AVG →.261
Current Season
JacksonCategoryRandy
2HR →6
13R →41
11RBI →26
5SB →17
.276AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Chourio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.403 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.349 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Randy Arozarena
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.341, +0.026 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jackson Chourio: 12 HR / 36 R. Randy Arozarena: 12 HR / 60 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).