Rest of Season Projection
JacobCategorySimeon
155K ←65
2.20ERA ←5.25
0.98WHIP ←1.59
6–13W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
JacobCategorySimeon
108K ←26
1.65ERA ←7.74
0.79WHIP ←1.89
6W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.20 is 0.55 above the ERA — regression coming
Simeon Woods Richardson
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.87 +1.77 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jacob Misiorowski: 155 K / 2.20 ERA. Simeon Woods Richardson: 65 K / 5.25 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).