Rest of Season Projection
SimeonCategoryTomoyuki
65K ←56
5.25ERA ←6.37
1.59WHIP →1.36
0–0W →5–10
0SV0
Current Season
SimeonCategoryTomoyuki
26K →31
7.74ERA →4.01
1.89WHIP →1.25
0W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Simeon Woods Richardson
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.87 +1.77 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tomoyuki Sugano
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 7.60 is 3.62 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Simeon Woods Richardson: 65 K / 5.25 ERA. Tomoyuki Sugano: 56 K / 6.37 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).