Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryTomoyuki
81K ←58
4.50ERA ←6.36
1.38WHIP →1.36
1–3W →5–10
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryTomoyuki
43K ←31
5.74ERA →4.01
1.52WHIP →1.25
1W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Painter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.337 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Tomoyuki Sugano
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 7.58 is 3.60 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Andrew Painter: 81 K / 4.50 ERA. Tomoyuki Sugano: 58 K / 6.36 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).