MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Portrait of Jaden Hill
Jaden Hill
COL · P
Change to
Seth Johnson
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jaden Hill wins 0 (none); Seth Johnson wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jaden Hill
97.1
Seth Johnson
97.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jaden Hill
14.5%
Seth Johnson
12.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jaden Hill
22.0%
Seth Johnson
25.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jaden Hill
28.8%
Seth Johnson
20.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jaden Hill
39.7%
Seth Johnson
36.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jaden Hill
3.8%
Seth Johnson
10.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jaden Hill
.316
Seth Johnson
.311
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jaden Hill
2.496.73
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.43
3.70
Seth Johnson
2.496.73
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.79
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Jaden Hill
1.051.90
now 1.43
1.24
Seth Johnson
1.051.90
now 1.71
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jaden Hill
4029.80
now 23
22
Seth Johnson
4029.80
now 6
22
Winshigher is better
Jaden Hill
.000.480
now 0
00
Seth Johnson
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJaden Hill — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.86
Hold · wait & seeSeth Johnson — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet