MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 3, 2026
Portrait of Jake Bird
Jake Bird
WSH · P
Change to
Samy Natera Jr.
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jake Bird wins 1 (W); Samy Natera Jr. wins 1 (K); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jake Bird
93.9
Samy Natera Jr.
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jake Bird
11.0%
Samy Natera Jr.
16.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jake Bird
22.3%
Samy Natera Jr.
38.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jake Bird
22.5%
Samy Natera Jr.
27.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jake Bird
38.0%
Samy Natera Jr.
30.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jake Bird
9.8%
Samy Natera Jr.
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jake Bird
.341
Samy Natera Jr.
.225
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jake Bird
27
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.00
3.70
Samy Natera Jr.
27
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Jake Bird
.9001.66
now 1.33
1.24
Samy Natera Jr.
.9001.66
now 0.50
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jake Bird
4033.80
now 20
16
Samy Natera Jr.
4033.80
now 3
25
Winshigher is better
Jake Bird
.0001.48
now 1
01
Samy Natera Jr.
.0001.48
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJake Bird — hold.conf 0.55
Hold · wait & seeSamy Natera Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet