MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Luke Weaver
Luke Weaver
NYM · P
Change to
Samy Natera Jr.
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Luke Weaver.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Luke Weaver wins 2 categories (ERA, W); Samy Natera Jr. wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Luke Weaver
95.3
Samy Natera Jr.
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Luke Weaver
15.7%
Samy Natera Jr.
16.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Luke Weaver
26.4%
Samy Natera Jr.
37.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Luke Weaver
33.4%
Samy Natera Jr.
25.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Luke Weaver
33.6%
Samy Natera Jr.
32.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Luke Weaver
8.4%
Samy Natera Jr.
5.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Luke Weaver
.264
Samy Natera Jr.
.217
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Luke Weaver
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.77
3.65
Samy Natera Jr.
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Luke Weaver
.9001.54
now 1.04
1.24
Samy Natera Jr.
.9001.54
now 0.50
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Luke Weaver
4038
now 25
17
Samy Natera Jr.
4038
now 3
28
Winshigher is better
Luke Weaver
.0002.80
now 2
12
Samy Natera Jr.
.0002.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighLuke Weaver — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.92
Hold · wait & seeSamy Natera Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet