MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Samy Natera Jr.
LAA · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Holton
Tyler Holton
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Samy Natera Jr. wins 1 (K); Tyler Holton wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Samy Natera Jr.
94.6
Tyler Holton
91.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Samy Natera Jr.
16.3%
Tyler Holton
11.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Samy Natera Jr.
37.5%
Tyler Holton
18.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Samy Natera Jr.
25.9%
Tyler Holton
28.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Samy Natera Jr.
32.5%
Tyler Holton
38.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Samy Natera Jr.
5.0%
Tyler Holton
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Samy Natera Jr.
.217
Tyler Holton
.296
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Samy Natera Jr.
25.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Tyler Holton
25.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.23
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Samy Natera Jr.
.9001.72
now 0.50
1.24
Tyler Holton
.9001.72
now 1.37
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Samy Natera Jr.
4038
now 3
28
Tyler Holton
4038
now 24
17
Winshigher is better
Samy Natera Jr.
.0001.48
now 0
00
Tyler Holton
.0001.48
now 1
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeSamy Natera Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTyler Holton — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet